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Sunday, May 23rd, 2010
Our reality check should either reinforce the efficacy of our process or help us understand just where our process has broken down. We can learn to improve our planning in the first step. We can recommit to executing our plan better in the second step. Perhaps we should evaluate more frequently in the third step.What can we improve on? How can we do better? We study the results of our process, draw conclusions, and decide how we will act right now.What’s the best decision we can make at this moment?
Sometimes the action we should take is simply to abandon the activity. Suppose we discover that we do not play well together. This is the perfect time—before we have too much invested in the partnership—to acknowledge the fact, pick up our toys, and move on. Companies frequently find that their cultures or technologies are not as compatible as they thought they were. Rather than ontinuing down a path to nowhere, it’s best sometimes to acknowledge the fact and look for a new partner. This is a healthy sign of maturity and growth. Like couples dating, you learn something about your partner and, just as important, you learn something about yourself. You have just increased your Partnering Intelligence.
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Tags: bonds, credit, credit cards, economy, finances, money management, payday loans
Sunday, March 21st, 2010
Rather than simply hoping the partnership delivers what it’s capable of achieving, I use a structured process that helps me manage the outcomes. This process is called the Plan–Do–Check–Act cycle, also known as the Shewhart cycle or the Deming cycle.
Walter A. Shewhart, a statistician at Bell Telephone Laboratories in New York, developed a technique to reduce process variation in tasks that workers performed. He developed this planning cycle to improve the output of his processes and bring them under what he called “statistical” control. Later Dr. W. Edwards Deming referred to the Shewhart cycle as the Plan–Do–Check–Act cycle. Deming introduced it to the Japanese to help rebuild their economy after World War II. This cycle has been a cornerstone of the Japanese economic miracle ever since the 1960s and is still used today. In fact, the Japanese call it the Deming Cycle of Quality. The Plan–Do–Check–Act (PDCA) cycle is as useful in developing relationships as it is in managing statistical control or performing a task. I use this simple tool repeatedly throughout the partnering process. Let’s explore the cycle more closely.
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Tags: business objectives, debt consolidation, debt settlement, investment opportunities, refinancing
Thursday, March 11th, 2010
Since options depend on a number of input factors, they must change in value when an input factor changes in value. The strike price as well as the maturity date are deterministic; i.e. once they are set, they do not change any more. The other input factors, price of the underlying asset, volatility, interest rate and net yield, can change over time. For example, the impact of a change in volatility on the option price, all else being equal, is the sensitivity of the option price to volatility.
Most important and obvious, the option price is sensitive to a movement in the underlying asset. The change in the option value divided by the change in the underlying asset is called the delta. The delta of a call option is between zero and one while the delta of a put option is between minus one and zero. The delta is an important parameter with regard to the replicating portfolio.
Since it measures the price change of an option due to a price change in the underlying asset, the delta actually is the exact number of underlying assets that must be held in the replicating portfolio. Somebody who intends to hedge an option should therefore hold a delta amount of underlying assets. This procedure is called delta hedging.
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Tags: business objective, loans, loans guide, money guide, mortgage, shares, trade value
Wednesday, March 10th, 2010
Just as for forward and futures contracts, the holder of an option is not entitled to earn any yield on the underlying asset before the option is exercised and the underlying asset is owned directly. The yield on a directly owned asset is called the convenience yield. On the other hand, the option holder does not need to bear the cost that is related to the storage or maintenance of the underlying asset, called cost-of-carry. A large yield such as a big dividend payment can make it worthwhile to exercise an option early. Suppose a stock pays a dividend of 5% tomorrow and an investor holds a deep in-the-money call option (i.e. the option is highly likely to be exercised) that matures next week. If the investor could exercise the option today, he or she would need to put down the strike price today but would capture the dividend. If he or she were to wait until maturity, there would only be a need to pay the strike price in a week but the dividend payment would be missed. Clearly, the possibility of an early exercise can be valuable if the underlying asset provides a yield. In that case, an American-style option is worth more than a European-style option.
The net yield can be directly observed in the market (announced dividend payments) or estimated from related markets.
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Wednesday, March 10th, 2010
The time to maturity is determined in the option contract. Generally, the longer the time to maturity, the more valuable is the option. The reason for this relation is straightforward for the American-style option: the holder of the option can always exercise the option prior to maturity. In addition, there is the possibility to wait and exercise the option at a later point in time. The longer the time to maturity, the greater is the value of the possibility to wait.
For European-style options, the relation of time to maturity and option price needs further explanation. A start is made by showing that an early exercise does not make much sense. Assume that an investor holds a call option with a strike at US$ 100 and a two-year maturity on a nondividend paying stock. The price of the underlying stock is currently at US$ 90. Obviously, an early exercise makes little sense, since the out-of-the money option would be worth zero immediately. Suppose the stock rises to US$ 110 over the next year. If the investor were to exercise the option now, he or she would need to put down US$ 100 (the strike price) and get the stock worth US$ 110. The difference between the actual stock price and the strike price of US$ 10 would have been gained, called the intrinsic value.
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