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Make a reality check before a loan check

Written by admin on May 23rd, 2010

164Our reality check should either reinforce the efficacy of our process or help us understand just where our process has broken down. We can learn to improve our planning in the first step. We can recommit to executing our plan better in the second step. Perhaps we should evaluate more frequently in the third step.What can we improve on? How can we do better? We study the results of our process, draw conclusions, and decide how we will act right now.What’s the best decision we can make at this moment?

Sometimes the action we should take is simply to abandon the activity. Suppose we discover that we do not play well together. This is the perfect time—before we have too much invested in the partnership—to acknowledge the fact, pick up our toys, and move on. Companies frequently find that their cultures or technologies are not as compatible as they thought they were. Rather than ontinuing down a path to nowhere, it’s best sometimes to acknowledge the fact and look for a new partner. This is a healthy sign of maturity and growth. Like couples dating, you learn something about your partner and, just as important, you learn something about yourself. You have just increased your Partnering Intelligence.

 

Devising a credit plan that will work out

Written by admin on April 22nd, 2010

The first step is to decide what actions we should take to accomplish a task. Breaking down a manufacturing or sales process or a performance procedure into its parts is not hard to do.We also need to plan our relationship. We need to single out the components of the relationship that we agree are important: the nature of the relationship and how we’ll resolve conflicts, make decisions, and communicate. Like the logical steps in accomplishing a task, these preparations can lead to an open, constructive relationship. Whether we’re working on a task or the relationship, we cannot proceed
without a plan.

We carry out our plan.We do the activity.We solve problems, make decisions, and communicate just as we had planned.

Did we follow our plan? Did we end up where we thought we would? Did the relationship work out as planned? The phrase “reality check” is popular in business discussions today—we can get so wrapped up in activity, in the busyness of working hard, that we forget to stand back and see how we’re doing. In this step, we should primarily observe how well we’ve implemented our plan. What new information do we need to consider in the partnership?

 

Explore the credit cycle more closely

Written by admin on March 21st, 2010

23Rather than simply hoping the partnership delivers what it’s capable of achieving, I use a structured process that helps me manage the outcomes. This process is called the Plan–Do–Check–Act cycle, also known as the Shewhart cycle or the Deming cycle.

Walter A. Shewhart, a statistician at Bell Telephone Laboratories in New York, developed a technique to reduce process variation in tasks that workers performed. He developed this planning cycle to improve the output of his processes and bring them under what he called “statistical” control. Later Dr. W. Edwards Deming referred to the Shewhart cycle as the Plan–Do–Check–Act cycle. Deming introduced it to the Japanese to help rebuild their economy after World War II. This cycle has been a cornerstone of the Japanese economic miracle ever since the 1960s and is still used today. In fact, the Japanese call it the Deming Cycle of Quality. The Plan–Do–Check–Act (PDCA) cycle is as useful in developing relationships as it is in managing statistical control or performing a task. I use this simple tool repeatedly throughout the partnering process. Let’s explore the cycle more closely.

 

Credit options on liquidity traded assets

Written by admin on March 12th, 2010

1However, since options are nonlinear derivatives, the delta itself will change with every move of the underlying asset;  i.e. the hedger must adjust the hedge amount dynamically, in order tocorrectly mimic the option to be replicated. Since in reality it is not possible to continuously adjust the hedge, the hedger is exposed to the risk of the delta changing quickly. The hedger with the delta position is always one step behind the true actual delta. The risk of unanticipated changes in the delta is called the gamma risk. In other words, the gamma is the sensitivity of the delta with respect to the underlying asset. If a trader wants to hedge gamma risk in addition to delta risk, he or she needs a security with a nonlinear payoff depending on the same underlying asset in addition to the underlying asset itself. By just using the underlying asset (which is an instrument with a linear payoff) the trader could never hedge gamma risk (which arises only in nonlinear payoffs). Similarly, option price sensitivities with respect to volatility (called vega), to interest rates (called rho) and to net yield can be calculated and used as a hedge measure for a change in the respective parameter. These sensitivities, which were developed for options on liquidly traded assets (e.g. equity), will generally be appropriate for property options as well.

 

The change in the underlying credit asset

Written by admin on March 11th, 2010

130Since options depend on a number of input factors, they must change in value when an input factor changes in value. The strike price as well as the maturity date are deterministic; i.e. once they are set, they do not change any more. The other input factors, price of the underlying asset, volatility, interest rate and net yield, can change over time. For  example, the impact of a change in volatility on the option price, all else being equal, is the sensitivity of the option price to volatility.

Most important and obvious, the option price is sensitive to a movement in the underlying asset. The change in the option value divided by the change in the underlying asset is called the delta. The delta of a call option is between zero and one while the delta of a put option is between minus one and zero. The delta is an important parameter with regard to the replicating portfolio.

Since it measures the price change of an option due to a price change in the underlying asset, the delta actually is the exact number of underlying assets that must be held in the replicating portfolio. Somebody who intends to hedge an option should therefore hold a delta amount of underlying assets. This procedure is called delta hedging.

 

Option value and volatility value of a credit

Written by admin on March 10th, 2010

Alternatively, the investor could wait another year (i.e. to maturity of the option), and observe where the stock price has gone. If the stock price has gone down to, say, US$ 80, he or she would be happy to have waited since a loss would have been avoided. If, on the other hand, the stock rose further to, say, US$ 130, the investor could still exercise the option and put down the strike price of US$ 100. If he or she had exercised earlier, a stock worth US$ 130 would be held. However, the later the strike price needs to paid, the more interest can be earned on that money. Therefore, also in this scenario, it was wiser to wait as long as possible, i.e. until maturity. It follows that a longer maturity is more valuable, i.e. results in a higher option price, even if the option cannot be exercised before maturity.

As just seen, the remaining time to maturity is valuable. Consequently, the option price must be worth more than the intrinsic value (i.e. the US$ 10 that are collected in the above example if exercised immediately). That additional value is related to time to maturity and volatility. Higher volatility makes it more valuable to wait and see, i.e. to have the chance of avoiding a large loss by not exercising early. This difference between the option value and its intrinsic value is thus often called the time or volatility value.

 

Loans and dividend payments

Written by admin on March 10th, 2010

Just as for forward and futures contracts, the holder of an option is not entitled to earn any yield on the underlying asset before the option is exercised and the underlying asset is owned directly. The yield on a directly owned asset is called the convenience yield. On the other hand, the option holder does not need to bear the cost that is related to the storage or maintenance of the underlying asset, called cost-of-carry. A large yield such as a big dividend payment can make it worthwhile to exercise an option early. Suppose a stock pays a dividend of 5% tomorrow and an investor holds a deep in-the-money call option (i.e. the option is highly likely to be exercised) that matures next week. If the investor could exercise the option today, he or she would need to put down the strike price today but would capture the dividend. If he or she were to wait until maturity, there would only be a need to pay the strike price in a week but the dividend payment would be missed. Clearly, the possibility of an early exercise can be valuable if the underlying asset provides a yield. In that case, an American-style option is worth more than a European-style option.

The net yield can be directly observed in the market (announced dividend payments) or estimated from related markets.

 

What’s the intrinsic value of a loan

Written by admin on March 10th, 2010

The time to maturity is determined in the option contract. Generally, the longer the time to maturity, the more valuable is the option. The reason for this relation is straightforward for the American-style option: the holder of the option can always exercise the option prior to maturity. In addition, there is the possibility to wait and exercise the option at a later point in time. The longer the time to maturity, the greater is the value of the possibility to wait.

For European-style options, the relation of time to maturity and option price needs further explanation. A start is made by showing that an early exercise does not make much sense. Assume that an investor holds a call option with a strike at US$ 100 and a two-year maturity on a nondividend paying stock. The price of the underlying stock is currently at US$ 90. Obviously, an early exercise makes little sense, since the out-of-the money option would be worth zero immediately. Suppose the stock rises to US$ 110 over the next year. If the investor were to exercise the option now, he or she would need to put down US$ 100 (the strike price) and get the stock worth US$ 110. The difference between the actual stock price and the strike price of US$ 10 would have been gained, called the intrinsic value.

 

You can seize the best payday loans opportunities

Written by admin on February 23rd, 2010

168You can seize the opportunities to develop trust by agreeing to initial activities. In the Initiate stage, you can work with your partner one step at a time to test and build your partnership.

As you gain more trust by demonstrating you can work together effectively, you enter the fourth stage, Commit. You’ll be able to make more commitments and thereby strengthen your partnership.

The success of a partnership depends on what is actually accomplished—not on what was intended or possible. As we define our expectations of each other in terms of a task, we also define the expectations in the relationship.We talk about our relationship in terms of the behavior that is acceptable.We also agree in a collaborative spirit to hold each other accountable. This is where the relationship issues involve our personal styles of handling conflict. If you’re not happy with the way I’m performing a task, what will you do about it? How will we discuss and resolve the issues?

 

Assessing credit’s potential

Written by admin on October 22nd, 2009

65Assessing the current and potential value of the target business means taking into account factors such as tangible and intangible assets, notably property and intellectual property, and the expertise of its personnel and the likelihood that they will remain. Investigate the target business’s management expertise and organisational culture: the way that the business is run and decisions are made, as well as its culture and values. Then assess what benefits these would bring and what difficulties they may cause in the integration process.

Assess what you might have to pay in order to win support from the target company’s (and your firm’s) shareholders and other interested parties. Work out who else’s support you need: key managers, the media, stockmarket analysts or whatever. All this affects the ease with which the company can be acquired as well as the depth of long-term support and cash that may be available for future developments, such as a process of costly restructuring.

 
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